Agri-Shop Ltd
Farminguk
27 September 2016 | Online since 2003
Less co2 Limited


16 October 2012 11:11:25 |

October growing conditions deteriorating in Western Australia


Soycomplex
Nov 12 Soybeans closed at USD14.92 1/2, down 30 cents; Jan 13 Soybeans closed at USD14.91 3/4, down 30 1/4 cents; Dec 12 Soybean Meal closed at USD456.10, down USD9.10; Dec 12 Soybean Oil closed at 50.01, down 56 points.
Soybeans closed below USD15/bu for the first time since the first week of July. Fund selling was estimated at 10,000 soybean contracts on the day. Friday's Commitment of Traders report shows that their recent liquidation phase, which has seen soybean prices tumble more than USD2.50/bushel, places them with their smallest long in over 6 months.
China's CNGOIC said that October soybean imports would be higher than originally forecast at 4.25 MMT and that Nov/Dec shipments would also increase on original estimates due to the recent price drop. In the calendar year 2012 China will import a record 57 MMT of soybeans, they said. Malaysia said it was to cut the export tax on crude palm oil as domestic stocks hit a record high, and with prices recently falling to a more than 2 year low. After the close the USDA placed this year's US soybean harvest at 71% complete versus 58% last week and 64% a year ago.
Corn
Dec 12 Corn closed at USD7.37 1/4, down 15 1/2 cents; Mar 13 Corn also closed at USD7.37 1/4, down 15 1/2 cents.
Fund selling was estimated at 12,000 contracts on the day. Friday's COT report shows funds cutting their net long position to the smallest in 2 months as of last Tuesday night. Demand for US corn, or the lack of it, has got them spooked drought or not. Friday's combined weekly export sales total of just 14 TMT for both 2012/13 and 2013/14 shipment compares very poorly with the 1.3 MMT sold in the same week a year ago. Reuters say that feeders in the SE have recently signed a deal to import 600 TMT of Argentine corn, hot on the heels of a similar deal to import 750 TMT of Brazilian corn announced recently.
The USDA said last week that the US would import 1.9 MMT of corn in 2012/13 - the highest total in many years. Some private analysts think that 3 MMT may be nearer the mark. Exports meanwhile will tumble to 31 MMT, they said - the lowest since 1991/92. Weekly export inspections of 17.235 million bushels were below expectations and the 23.5 million needed to reach this target. After the close the USDA pegged the US corn harvest at 79% complete versus 38% on average and 42% a year ago.
Wheat
Dec 12 CBOT Wheat closed at USD8.48 1/4, down 8 1/2 cents; Dec 12 KCBT Wheat closed at USD8.81 1/4, down 9 cents; Dec 12 MGEX Wheat closed at USD9.21, down 3 1/4 cents.
Fund selling on Chicago wheat was estimated at 2,000 contracts on the day. Weekly export inspections for wheat were poor at just 7 million bushels versus 13.2 million last week and 16.6 million in the same week of 2011. US winter wheat plantings have reached 71 % complete, according to the USDA, That's bang in line with the five year average.
Emergence improved form 23% last week to 36% this week, although that still lags the five year average of 44%. Wheat prospects are looking up in southern growing areas of New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia, according to Martell Crop Projections. October rains were 1-1.5 inch in key wheat areas Eastern Australia and favourable for flowering and heading wheat. Although at the same time October growing conditions deteriorated in Western Australia with hotter and drier weather," they add. Elsewhere: "Welcome cooling has finally developed in Russia’s southern winter wheat zone, but drought continues to be a very issue. Winter wheat has been slow to emerge in the Southern District. This is the top winter-wheat growing area that accounts for 42% of Russia wheat production," they say.

Download

0 Comment

loginuserlogo
Name

Please enter your name


Email

Please enter your email

Please enter valid email


Comment

Please enter your comment


Post Comment

Your comment has been submitted successfully. Please wait for admin approval.


Comments

No comments posted yet. Be the first to post a comment


New Zealand | 26 September 2016
Foreign investment in food raises fears over loss of control

Silver Fern Farms' controversial $260 million deal with Shanghai Maling received the final tick of approval from the government last week, based on its belief the purchase would be a substantial benef...


Denmark | 26 September 2016
Denmark and Malaysia signs agriculture deal

On 22 September Minister for Agriculture & Agro-based Industries, Dato’ Sri Ahmad Shabery Cheek and his Danish counterpart, Minister Esben Lunde Larsen, finally signed the Memorandum of Understanding ...


USA | 26 September 2016
California farmers drilling wells as groundwater limits loom

Farmers in central California are drilling more and deeper wells than ever before to pump water for their fruit orchards and sprawling fields following government imposed limits on surface water. T...


New Zealand | 26 September 2016
Fonterra profits jump 65% despite ongoing challenges in dairy markets

Despite ongoing challenges in the dairy market, Fonterra, the New Zealand-based co-op, has posted a 65% increase in profits for the 2015/2016 financial year. The co-op has seen net profits increase...


Romania | 26 September 2016
Romania may suspend farmland purchases by foreigners for three years

Romania may suspend farmland purchases by foreign individuals and companies for a period of three years if a draft law currently debated in the Parliament is approved. The new bill aims to set stri...



Trending Now

Viewed
Discussed


Top stories you may have missed
FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

Labour will end the badger cull and prioritise ending bovine TB, Shadow Def...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

A herd of rare White Park cattle could die out if its owners do not urgentl...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

The UK government is "failing" to support farmers in the long-term accordin...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

Retailer Co-op has announced that from May 2017 all of its bacon and lamb w...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

Over 50 wildlife organisations have compiled a stock-take of all the UK's n...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

In the run up to the EU farm ministers meeting the agricultural sector have...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

The RPA must iron out a number of problems that still exist with 2015 BPS p...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

Tourism businesses in the countryside are being held back due to the uncert...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

A 24 point action plan aimed at revitalising Scotland's sheep sector after ...


FarmingUK
FarmingUK Logo

FarmingUK

A new survey has revealed that the vast majority of British consumers belie...


closeicon
Username
Password