Record low farmland offerings amid growing uncertainty

The latest quarter figures by rural property experts Savills confirm a new record low
The latest quarter figures by rural property experts Savills confirm a new record low

Britain has experienced its lowest number of open market farmland launches since records began in 1995, new analysis by Savills shows.

The combination of political uncertainty and potential changes in agri policy continue to delay decisions to bring land to the market.

Despite this, buyers remain active and farmland values have shown signs of growth for only the second time since March 2015.

For the farmland market, September is typically a rebound from the late summer recess, however the latest quarter figures by Savills confirm a new record low.

It shows supply 40 percent down on the same period last year (30 percent down on the five-year average).

Total acres marketed fell to 105,000 acres which is even lower than the acreage recorded in September 2004 (116,000 acres) when uncertainty pre the introduction to the single farm payment affected the market.

The largest differential was a 49% year-on-year decline in Scotland where 21,214 acres were bought to market - over half the long term average.

In light of low supply and active demand, green shoots are starting to appear in farmland values.

Savills' Farmland Values Survey recorded an average net gain of 0.3% gain across GB, only the second positive result since the peak of land prices in early 2015.

South West England recorded the largest quarterly increase of 1.2% with East England 0.7% and Scotland 0.5% also registering gains.

By land type, prime arable and dairy land showed the strongest value growth of 0.6% and 0.8% respectively.

Alex Lawson director of Savills farms and estates team said: “Good quality property and correct pricing which creates competition is generating some good sales at decent prices, but blighted properties or those with over ambitious guide prices are proving challenging to sell.

“Such short supply and limited market activity mean that the circumstances of every transaction is different, so it’s incredibly difficult to identify 'trends'.”

Looking forward, the eventual outcome of Brexit negotiations is expected to increase market activity, Savills says.

Clarity in the political and economic environment may bring more land to the market as farmers assess renewed business objectives, it adds.

There will always be a market for good quality farmland from those looking to expand their acreage either through renting, contracting of purchasing.

Other land types are also attracting interest as attention is turned to filling environmental offsetting agendas.