Scottish cattle and sheep farm profitability report released

The survey compares the costs, revenues and margins achieved by the top-third of producers
The survey compares the costs, revenues and margins achieved by the top-third of producers

A new report identifies the continued correlation between technical performance, sound economic management and lower emissions intensity within the top third of performers in the Scottish livestock industry.

Known as the ‘Enterprise Costings’, the Quality Meat Scotland (QMS) publication [PDF] covers the 2019 beef and lamb crop, and is based on a survey of producers.

The purpose of the report is to encourage farmers to look at how their business compared to the wider industry.

Stuart Ashworth, QMS Director of Economics Services said: “People hear the term benchmarking and are shy to connect with it, but it is a great opportunity to critically appraise the successes and weakness of an enterprise.

"You can learn as much from your successes as you can from your weaknesses," he added.

The survey, which provides a snapshot of the industry during 2019, compares for each sector the costs, revenues and margins achieved by the top-third of producers, the bottom-third, and the sample average.

The results omit CAP support payments, except for those which are directly linked to production, and strongly highlights the technical and financial performance variation that exists when comparing Scotland’s top third producers and the bottom third.

Results show that despite savings in feed and forage due to weather being more benign than in 2018, offering good grass growing conditions for most of the year, the decline in market prices for some sectors led to further deterioration in margins.

“At store cattle sales, the autumn season failed to match spring price levels for a second year,” explained Mr Ashworth.

“However, the declines relative to autumn of around 6% in September and 2% in October were less than those seen at prime cattle sales where prices in the autumn were 9-12% behind 2018, pointing to a particular squeeze on finishing margins.

“Only 31% of suckler herds achieved a positive net margin – a decrease from 36% 2018. This is also reflected among store finishers with 30% of the businesses surveyed achieving a positive net margin, down from 38% in 2018,” he added.

For sheep producers, a better lambing resulted in more store lambs traded at autumn sales, and despite this, and the uncertainty around Brexit, selling prices held up resulting in some improvement in net margins across sheep enterprises.

“At prime lamb sales, prices were in line with their five-year average for most of the summer and autumn, before rising strongly in the final two months once EU exit had been delayed.

"Fortunately for store lamb finishers, the prime lamb market reached record levels in the first quarter of 2020; although prices did weaken following the onset of the Covid pandemic in late March and failed to fully recover at Easter,” said Mr Ashworth.

He added: “The proportion of hill ewe flocks making a positive net margin increased from 8 percent last year to 15 percent this year.

"Meanwhile, net profitability among upland flocks improved and 75% of enterprises surveyed achieved a positive net margin for their 2019 lamb crop, up from 55% 2018 and 56% from the 2017 lamb crop year.

“Lowland flocks saw the most significant increase in margins with 62% of surveyed flocks achieving this objective compared to 38% achieving a positive net margin for the 2018 lamb crop.

"Store lamb finishers similarly saw a marked improvement in net margins with 92% of those surveyed achieving a positive net margin compared to 69% of those surveyed in 2018.”

Nevertheless, for both cattle and sheep enterprises reporting positive net margins, the lack of return from the marketplace for the labour and capital invested in their businesses by farmers continues to illustrate the scale of the challenge of achieving a positive margin without CAP support.

The report also details the estimates that have been made of the greenhouse gas emissions associated with the enterprises surveyed and reported on the basis of net liveweight produced or added during the surveyed year.

“The results show over the five years that there has been some general reduction in average emissions per kg of output but the differences are too small and the range of emissions overlap from year to year to suggest the movement is a definitive trend,” said Mr Ashworth.

“Nevertheless, there is a clear correlation between lower emissions intensity and better financial sustainability with those in the top-third of financial performance having the lowest emissions intensity per kg of livestock output.”

Despite the challenges faced, the results show the success of top producers continues to be characterised by high physical and/or technical performance; strong control over costs and the ability to maximise returns from the marketplace.

“It remains that a successful livestock business requires getting the animal on ground, keeping it alive in the most technically efficient and low cost way, before selling it to best advantage by understanding the market you are aiming for.”